Economy & Policy

Danantara Pledges $5 Billion to Indonesian Companies as MSCI Looms

Danantara will pour $5 billion into Indonesian companies within nine months, stepping in as MSCI's proposed downgrade sends Jakarta stocks down 40% this year.

By Nathan Brooks

4 min read

Updated

Indonesia’s Danantara pledges $5 billion to home-grown companies as MSCI once again threatens a downgrade
Indonesia’s Danantara pledges $5 billion to home-grown companies as MSCI once again threatens a downgradeSpencerWing / pixabay

What's News

  • Danantara plans to invest $5 billion in Indonesian businesses over the next six to nine months, CIO Pandu Sjahrir said on Oct. 12.
  • MSCI proposed downgrading Indonesia to standalone status on Oct. 15; the Jakarta Composite Index fell 11.6% and is down over 40% year-to-date.
  • Indonesia has until April 2027 to enact reforms to avoid the MSCI downgrade.
  • Danantara invested $250 million in Texas-based HighPeak Energy on Oct. 6.
  • Danantara's asset management arm oversees more than 1,000 state-owned enterprises; the fund has about 500 employees.

Indonesia's sovereign wealth fund Danantara plans to deploy $5 billion into Indonesian businesses over the next six to nine months, its chief investment officer said — a commitment made just days before MSCI proposed stripping the country of its emerging-market status, a move that has already wiped 11.6% off the Jakarta Composite Index.

"We're encouraging our guys to focus on the fundamentals of Indonesian businesses because they're growing healthily," Pandu Sjahrir, Danantara's chief investment officer, told Fortune on Oct. 12, on the sidelines of the DBS Asia Future Forward Conference in Singapore. "Why wouldn't we be buyers of these types of businesses? It's our job to look at, support and buy great companies."

The timing matters. On Oct. 15, MSCI proposed downgrading Indonesia from emerging-market to standalone status. That would pull Indonesian stocks out of MSCI's emerging and frontier-market indices and push investment funds to cut their exposure. Indonesia now has until April 2027 to enact reforms, and it recently preserved its Secondary Emerging status in FTSE Russell's annual count.

The MSCI news triggered an 11.6% plunge in the benchmark Jakarta Composite Index. The index is down just over 40% for the year, per Reuters — a measure of how much work Indonesia still has to do to win back global investors, and why Danantara, launched by President Prabowo Subianto in 2025, is stepping in as a market stabilizer.

"Once there's a shift in perception, even if the fundamentals are good, the stocks will see a downturn," Pandu admitted. "Overall, Indonesian consumer stocks are down over 20%, and that isn't even as bad as those related to mining or energy."

What does this change for investors?

For practitioners tracking Southeast Asia, the practical question is whether a state fund can offset index-driven outflows. Danantara's answer is a mandate that doesn't chase conventional returns. "The idea is to create economic value, and not necessarily commercial value first — that's an important distinction," Pandu explained. "If the projects serve as a significant economic multiplier and remain within the cost of capital range, we'll most likely fund it."

The fund runs four arms:

  • Asset management — supervises and corporatizes more than 1,000 state-owned enterprises.
  • Investment management — maximizes returns via bonds, public markets, and domestic and foreign equities.
  • Danantara Development Management Fund (DDMF) — deploys long-term capital into infrastructure with high social yield but lower immediate commercial returns, including the Giant Seawall Project along Java's northern coast (a build of up to 20 years) and a coal gasification program.
  • Danantara Resources Indonesia — fully launches in January, centralizing exports of the country's natural resources on a single digital platform, starting with its top three commodities: coal, palm oil and ferroalloys.

That last arm is the controversial one. Prabowo announced the export takeover in May, and analysts worry about encroaching state control over an economy already under strain.

"Under normal conditions, investors might take more time to assess the policy details," Dedi Dinarto, associate director at strategic advisory FGS Global, told Nikkei Asia in May. "But when the rupiah is under pressure, and the equity market is already weak, introducing a new layer of state control mechanism over strategic assets can quickly become a confidence issue."

Context for scale: Indonesia is the world's top exporter of nickel products, contributing over 60% of global supplies, according to Reuters.

'Get paid to learn'

Pandu wants Danantara to double down on partnerships and human capital next year. On Oct. 6, the fund announced a $250 million investment in HighPeak Energy, a Texas-based oil and gas producer.

"The collaboration is a way for us to learn about shale technology, which isn't often seen in Indonesia," Pandu said. "What we want to do is to learn about new technologies, how to de-risk them, and bring that knowledge back."

"If we are able to have some good downside protection, we get paid to learn," he added.

The hiring push backs the strategy. In 2025, Danantara recruited two executives from Singapore's GIC — Daniel Lim and Weihan Wong — to lead its global private market coverage. The fund now counts around 500 employees.

"The way we look at it — at least during my time — is how we can bring the best human capital [to Indonesia], and encourage the transfer of knowledge for the benefit of Indonesians," Pandu concluded.

Despite running a sovereign wealth fund in a country under global scrutiny, Pandu said he still gets "butterflies" at work: "I wouldn't trade it for the world, man."

The $5 billion question now is speed. If Danantara can deploy its capital before the April 2027 reform deadline, it buys Indonesia time with domestic money while the country works to convince MSCI — and global allocators — to stay.

By Nathan Brooks

Original: bloomberg.com

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News editor covering regulation, policy and their impact on entrepreneurship, startups and venture funding at Business Bearings.

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