UPS Books $22.9 Billion Quarter as Volume Strategy Pays Off
UPS beat expectations with $22.9 billion in Q3 revenue, returned core volume to growth, and raised guidance again. CFO Brian Dykes explains what's next.
By Amara Osei
3 min read
What's News
- UPS reported Q3 2026 revenue of $22.9 billion vs. $22.29 billion expected, and raised full-year guidance for a second straight quarter.
- CFO Brian Dykes said core volume returned to growth, with U.S. small and midsize business volume up 3.7%.
- Shares rose 5.75% to $106.09 after earnings, rebounding from an Oct. 27, 2025 low of $88.22.
- UPS targets 100,000 seasonal hires to handle roughly 4 million additional pieces per day in Q4.
- The company is pursuing about 100 active prospects in data center construction logistics.
UPS reported third-quarter revenue of $22.9 billion, beating the $22.29 billion analysts expected, and raised full-year revenue, profit, and free-cash-flow guidance for the second consecutive quarter. Operating profit came in at $1.7 billion, or $2.1 billion on an adjusted basis. Diluted earnings per share were $1.37, against adjusted earnings of $1.69.
The quarter marks a turning point in a transformation CFO Brian Dykes began describing a year ago: shedding lower-return, capital-intensive delivery volume — including scaling back the decades-long Amazon partnership — to focus on customers where UPS adds more value. Core volume returned to growth in the third quarter, exceeding expectations.
"The strategy is coming to life," Dykes said Tuesday, following the earnings call.
Where did the growth come from?
Growth came from the segments UPS prioritized, according to Dykes:
- U.S. small and midsize business volume rose 3.7%.
- Enterprise volume grew roughly 1%.
- High-tech and health care shipments drove performance.
- Investments in Asia's air network supported international growth.
UPS ranks No. 48 on the Fortune 500. Beyond moving chips and computers, the company sees an emerging opportunity in data center construction. Dykes said UPS can transport the cooling systems, flooring, racks, and other industrial equipment needed to build facilities. Its advantage: connecting freight forwarding, logistics, and package delivery within its own network. UPS has organized sales teams around the opportunity and is pursuing roughly 100 active prospects.
How did leadership hold the line?
Capturing that growth required staying committed through a stretch when the market showed little faith. "There have been a lot of times when we've questioned, are we doing the right thing?" Dykes said. The eight-person leadership team under CEO Carol Tomé drew on the company's 119-year legacy and on predecessors who had the "courage to drive change."
"We're all aligned on how we're executing the strategy, even when the stock price wasn't necessarily reflecting that people liked it," Dykes said.
The shares tell the story. UPS stock climbed from a low of $88.22 on Oct. 27, 2025, to an intraday high of $122.41 on Feb. 12, 2026. After the third-quarter 2026 earnings report, the stock rose 5.75% to close at $106.09 on Tuesday.
"We're not all the way there," Dykes said. "We still have more to do. But I think we're starting to put some points on the board."
What comes next: the holiday surge?
Dykes measures progress beyond margins and operating leverage. He tracks whether priority customers account for a growing share of volume, whether operations become more productive, and whether service quality holds. Otherwise, he says, new business can become a "leaky bucket" — adding customers while losing existing ones.
The next test is peak shipping season. UPS expects U.S. daily volume to rise approximately 25% from the third quarter to the fourth. The company is targeting 100,000 seasonal hires in the U.S. to handle an additional 4 million pieces per day, with at least 40,000 hires during its peak hiring weekend on November 6–7. That timing matters so "we can get them onboarded and working through the holidays," Dykes said.
The slimmer e-commerce book changes the economics of the surge. With less lower-return volume, UPS expects to need fewer rented aircraft, trailers, and trucks to handle the peak.
"We will have to do a little bit less work to make the same amount of money," Dykes said.
That's the central promise of the overhaul: not simply moving more packages, but earning better returns from the packages UPS chooses to move. The raised guidance and rebounding stock suggest investors are starting to price that in — and the fourth-quarter surge will show whether the leaner network can deliver it.
Original: investors.ups.com
More from Amara Osei
Show full bio
Senior reporter covering companies, deals and strategy in entrepreneurship, startups and venture funding at Business Bearings.
1,294 articles