93 Out of 100 Traders Lose the Fee: Prop Challenge Math, Simulated
A 32.4-million-trade simulation shows 93 of 100 FTMO-style challenge attempts lose the fee. With real CFD costs of 0.13 R, the best risk policy pays out just 6.7% of the time.
Topic
Backtesting
Topic
Backtesting
Hot CPI Months: S&P 500 Falls 49.5% of the Time Afterward
After a hot CPI month (0.4%+ inflation), the S&P 500 fell 49.5% of the time versus 34.8% after other months, a 56-year, 676-month…