Kalshi’s 28% odds and five failed macro calls expose forecast limits
Kalshi put Democratic control of both chambers at 28% in January. On Nov. 2, four AI models averaged a 16% loss, while five prominent analyst forecasts missed 2026 outcomes.
Topic
Hedge Funds
Topic
Hedge Funds
Man Group Faces $155 Million Liability in Kuwaiti Bribery Ruling
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Situational Awareness Fund Crashed After 1,000% Run
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Hedge Funds Sour on U.S. Stocks as October Losses Hit 10.4%
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Ray Dalio's Playbook for an AI Bubble Pop
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Inside Maverick Capital's US$15 Billion Portfolios
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Goldman Sachs Sees Record S&P 500 High Before Year-End Despite Rate Chaos
Goldman Sachs' hedge fund research team forecasts a record high for the S&P 500 before year-end, arguing stocks aren't expensive…
Hedge Fund's Near-Collapse Exposes Perils of Leveraged AI Bets
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CFTC Moves to Restore CPO and CTA Exemptions for SEC Advisers
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Trump Could Undo Elliott's $9 Billion Citgo Win — and Hand It Back to Venezuela
Treasury has extended Citgo's sale protection six times, freezing Elliott's $9 billion court-ordered purchase as Venezuela fights…